Epic Carnival | Where Sports and Pop Culture Collide: Matt Loede's NFL Picks for Week 13

Matt Loede's NFL Picks for Week 13

by Matt Loede, NFL Gridiron Gab

It's hard to believe it's already week 13 of the NFL season, but it is upon us, and after a good 3-0 start with Thanksgiving, I sit at 81-80 heading into the Sunday's games. Here are my picks for week 13 of the NFL season.

San Francisco at Buffalo (-6.5)

The Bills were able to get back on track last week in KC vs the awful Chiefs, and now they return home looking to move to 7-5 vs the 49'ers. San Fran hung in with the Cowboys last week, but Shaun Hill and the offense in the end didn't have enough. Look for the Bills to be able to run the ball and take advantage of the home crowd to earn their 7th win of the season. Buffalo 24 San Francisco 14

New Orleans at Tampa Bay (-3.5)

Did anyone think the Bucs would be this good? Jon Gruden has this team playing well, and even down 17-0 vs the Lions last week they didn't panic and were able to rebound for a win to go 8-3. The Saints had a huge night at home on offense vs the Packers, but don't look for it to be that easy vs Tampa Bay and that defense. The Bucs at home will make it a long day for Drew Brees and company. Tampa Bay 23 New Orleans 10

Carolina at Green Bay (-3)

The Pack looked like swiss cheese on defense Monday night in New Orleans, and this week they get another tough opponent in the Panthers. Carolina didn't look all that good on the road last week vs the Falcons, and this is going to be a very good, hard hitting game with big playoff implications. The Panthers I think have just enough to rebound, and Jake Delhomme is going to have to get it done, something he has not done as of late. Could see OT here, wouldn't surprise me. Carolina 17 Green Bay 14

New York Giants (-3.5) at Washington

It's do or die for the Skins, who have taken a huge step backwards with losses at home to the Steelers and Cowboys. While they won in Seattle last week, they don't look like the same team that was looking like a shoe-in for the playoffs early in the year. The Giants are beat in the NFC by far, and they keep that trend up with a win that basically ends the Skins playoffs dreams for 08. New York Giants 28 Washington 21

Miami (-8) at St.Louis

Not much to say here, as the Rams have packed it in for the season, and the Dolphins, despite a loss to the Pats at home, are still looking hard at a playoff birth in the AFC. Chad Pennington and the Dolphins should not have a problem picking apart the Rams defense, while the Rams may or may not have Marc Bulger. Look for a Fins runaway here. Miami 34 St.Louis 20

Baltimore (-7) at Cincinnati

The Bungles are 1-9-1, and the Ravens at 7-4 are staying hot on the trail of the Steelers in the AFC North. I can't see the Ravens, with that defense, having any sort of letdown here, and while the Bengals may look at this as their Super Bowl, it won't be enough as Joe Flacco and the Ravens offense along with Ray Lewis and that defense will stomp the Bengals. Baltimore 27 Cincinnati 10

Indianapolis (-5) at Cleveland

What a mess the Browns have become, and now they will be without starting QB Brady Quinn, who is on IR. They go back to Derek Anderson, who was benched halfway through the year. Let's see if the Colts can keep up their momentum vs the very bad Browns defense. Look for Peyton Manning and that Colts offense to have a fun time vs the weak Browns secondary. Indianapolis 33 Cleveland 17

Denver at New York Jets (-8)

Suddenly the Jets are thinking about that number two seed in the AFC after their upset win over the Titans last week. That Jets D is what is doing it, and no one is talking about it, which is a shame. They will keep playing under the radar, and this week at home vs the Broncos, who have lost already to the Chiefs and Raiders, it will be that D that will lower the boom and move the Jets to 9-3. New York Jets 23 Denver 14

Atlanta at San Diego (-5)

Has the window closed for the 4-7 Chargers? Yes, in my opinion. They are going in circles trying to move the ball, and then when it seems their offense gets some momentum, the defense gives it right back. Norv Turner should pay for this year with his job, and the Falcons are a very sound team, and I think they end any hopes of the Chargers in the postseason. Atlanta 27 San Diego 20

Pittsburgh at New England (-1)

Matt Cassel has had two big games of over 400 yards throwing the last two weeks, but this week he and the Pats face the leagues best defense in the Steelers. Pittsburgh is banged up, as Willie Parker and some names on defense appear to be out. I still think that Steelers D is good enough to win on the road in a big game, and that Ben Roethlisberger will outplay Cassel and get a huge win to move to 9-3. Pittsburgh 26 New England 20

Kansas City at Oakland (-3)

The Raiders should have a bit of confidence after their upset win in Denver Sunday, and it should carry over this week vs the very bad Chiefs. It's a game that not many people in the country will see, and for good reason, as it's going to be an ugly game that the Raiders should be able to win when it's all said and done. Oakland 19 Kansas City 9

Chicago at Minnesota (-3)

A huge NFC North battle, as both teams come in at 6-5 with first place on the line. The Vikings were able to right the ship last week with a win over the Jags 30-12, while the Bears laid a whipping on the Rams in St.Louis. The Vikings seem to be playing a bit better on offense, as the Bears will have to rely on their passing game, and I think Minnesota will get to the QB enough to get a win. Minnesota 20 Chicago 14

Monday Night:

Jacksonville at Houston (-3)

A bad AFC South game that many people will skip. Both teams are 4-7 and going nowhere, though the Jags seem to have mailed it in, and they may be playing right now for Jack Del Rio's job. Houston played well enough to beat the Browns last week, and I think on Monday night at home they will do it again. Houston 29 Jacksonville 23

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