tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1549089718489651445.post3162172008824246873..comments2007-08-06T14:23:00.947-05:00DCScraphttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06109944563728433069noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1549089718489651445.post-66402299149155136492007-08-06T14:23:00.000-05:002007-08-06T14:23:00.000-05:00Edit: <B>Johan K. Santana</B>.<BR/><BR/>89-40 in 165 starts.Soozehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06244595602514803118noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1549089718489651445.post-27872860266282653062007-08-06T11:02:00.000-05:002007-08-06T11:02:00.000-05:00Good points and mea culpa. I still think Oswalt's got a decent chance, because not getting started early also usually means guys don't get hurt as much. <BR/><BR/>As for Sabathia, I could see him eating his way out of it. Even in the AL, you've got to be able to move to field the position, and fat guys just get hurt more than in shape ones.DMtShooterhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17773877707208485532noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1549089718489651445.post-3997686040698906942007-08-06T09:52:00.000-05:002007-08-06T09:52:00.000-05:00Oswalt's not a lefty nor is he a particularly good bet, mostly because he didn't get his first full season until he was 24. If he'd gotten to the bigs two years sooner he'd be closing in on 150 wins right now instead of 110. As it is, even if he averages 15 wins a year for the next five he won't be at 200 when he's 35. <BR/>Sabathia seems like the best bet, even with his weight issues. He's improved every season, his girth makes it less likely that he'll overwork his arm and he could easily be above 200 wins by his 35th birthday.The Feedhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03335558465238842263noreply@blogger.com